Again, it's sometimes hard to know what a Trainer's goals are. Most likely those goals aren't about winning in December when the racing world isn't paying that much attention. The race's sole million dollar winner, Inglorious, trained by Josie Carroll, with Mike Smith up, has been shutdown since July and seems to be just at the beginning of a path that is expected to lead the Mare to bigger things in 2013.
I like sharper animals this time of year and I'm backing Lady of Fifty this time out: 5 of 6 in the money on the fake stuff, 8 of 10 lifetime in the money and the Aftermarket filly trained by Hollendorfer, with M. Garcia up, has been training sharply at Hollywood since a 1 mile win 5 weeks ago.
Changethechannel is a3 YO English Channel girl who comes in off a sharp same distance win at Hollywood 3 weeks ago. Game and fast, I like the sharp last out effort and we'll see what happens.
I have a deep collection of Exotic Players (purple), most likely a bit of indecision after my layoff, but this is a pretty evenly matched collection on paper.
Bayakoa's Trainer, Ron McAnally, brings in his homebred daughter of Empire Maker, Charm the Maker, into the fray. Only two wins, both with today's pilot Gomez up, some really uninspiring Turf work, and no real reasons to hang my fedora on. I like the class to prevail.
Class Included and Inglorious will be breaking from the outside together; Class Included comes out of the Breeders' Cup Distaff and I don't like the way the bounce usually goes on that angle. 16 of 17 in the money lifetime but no fake dirt and no distance wins. Inglorious I expect will run well but how well, hmm. I'm shading down, just on the edges of Show and Exotic.
I like Willa B Awesome on the fake stuff. I may make a game time decision after watching the post parade and shade her up.
There it is, my first effort back off a 31-60 day layoff.
Have fun, Turk Out!